MLB Daily DeltaWeek 31 · October 26, 2026
Engraved portrait of Bryan Torres
189 PA · week 31
this weekSELL
last weekNO CALL

Bryan Torres

data as of October 26, 2026·week 31
new call as of October 26, 2026
Sell stable xwOBA 0.288 below league with no luck excuse; move on.med 0.60
ROSAVG .000HR 0R 0RBI 0SB 0

Torres is a sell — the contact quality says this line is the level.

He is averaging 86.5 mph off the bat, 2.5 mph below the league average of 89.0, across 130 batted balls — well past the 50 it takes for exit velocity to become reliable. That gap shows up in the contact numbers: a 26.2% hard-hit rate against 40.0% league, and 3.1% barrels against 8.0%. His expected wOBA is .288, .027 below the league average of .315, and 189 plate appearances clears the threshold where that number can be trusted. His strikeout and walk rates are fine, so there is no swing-and-miss problem pulling the line down, and his expected wOBA has been stepping down as the sample has grown. There is no luck story to fall back on; this is the level he is at. Sell. A 0 HR / 0 R / 0 RBI / 0 SB / .000 AVG line is a drop, streaming-only — fade the production entirely.

Drivers

  • xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.288 below league with no luck excuse
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo86.5 mph
believable since Jul 1286.5 mph*
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−2.5 mphvs his norm —
130 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %26.2%
26.2%*
lg avg 40.0% ▼−13.8%vs his norm —
130 / 50 BBE
Barrel %3.1%
3.1%*
lg avg 8.0% ▼−4.9%vs his norm —
130 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.288
.288*
lg avg .315 ▼−.027vs his norm —
189 / 160 PA
wOBA.289
.289*
lg avg .315 ▼−.026vs his norm —wOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
189 / 200 PA
Strikeout %20.6%
20.6%*
lg avg 22.0% ▼−1.4%vs his norm —
189 / 60 PA
Walk %9.5%
9.5%*
lg avg 8.5% ▲+1.0%vs his norm —
189 / 120 PA
BABIP.272
.272*
lg avg .295 ▼−.023vs his norm —BABIP is below the ~.295 league average — expect it to rise.
130 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %9.7%
9.7%*
lg avg 11.0% ▼−1.3%vs his norm —
189 / 50 PA
Chase %27.0%
27.0%*
lg avg 28.5% ▼−1.5%vs his norm —
189 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 3.1%→4.1%signal0 HR — Barrel% 3.1% (signal) lifted to league ~8.0% → projected 4.1%.
BABIP 0.272→0.239 regressednoise.000 AVG — BABIP 0.272 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.233 (xBA 0.229) → 0.239.
on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~0 projected PA.
slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~0 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 7 G) over ~0 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

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