MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Engraved portrait of Bryan Torres
162 PA · week 25
this weekSELL
last weekNO CALL

Bryan Torres

data as of September 10, 2026·week 25
new call as of September 10, 2026
Sell stable xwOBA 0.300 below league with no luck excuse; move on.med 0.58
ROSAVG .225HR 0R 1RBI 4SB 0

Torres is a sell — the bat is below league and trending down.

His expected wOBA is .300, .015 below the league average of .315, and his 162 plate appearances put that number past the point where it becomes reliable. Nothing in his contact profile offers a reason to expect the line to climb: he averages 87.1 mph off the bat, two mph below league, with a 27.0% hard-hit rate against a league average of 40.0% and a 3.5% barrel rate against 8.0%. His plate discipline is tidy — a 19.1% strikeout rate, a 9.3% walk rate, a 9.0% swinging-strike rate — but that discipline is producing weak contact, not a hidden luck break. And the expected wOBA has been stepping down across the sample, which means the bat is not just below league but getting worse. There is no BABIP story to wait on. Sell. With a 0 HR / 1 R / 4 RBI / 0 SB / .225 AVG rest of season, he's a deep-league drop, not a hold.

Drivers

  • xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.300 below league with no luck excuse
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo87.1 mph
believable since Jul 1287.1 mph*
lg avg 89.0 mph −1.9 mphvs his norm —
115 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %27.0%
27.0%*
lg avg 40.0% −13.0%vs his norm —
115 / 50 BBE
Barrel %3.5%
3.5%*
lg avg 8.0% −4.5%vs his norm —
115 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.300
.300*
lg avg .315 −.015vs his norm —
162 / 160 PA
wOBA.314
.314*
lg avg .315 −.001vs his norm —wOBA is below the ~.315 league averageexpect it to rise.
162 / 200 PA
Strikeout %19.1%
19.1%*
lg avg 22.0% −2.9%vs his norm —
162 / 60 PA
Walk %9.3%
9.3%*
lg avg 8.5% +0.8%vs his norm —
162 / 120 PA
BABIP.300
.300*
lg avg .295 +.005vs his norm —BABIP is above the ~.295 league averageexpect it to fall.
115 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %9.0%
9.0%*
lg avg 11.0% −2.0%vs his norm —
162 / 50 PA
Chase %27.3%
27.3%*
lg avg 28.5% −1.2%vs his norm —
162 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 3.5%→4.4%signal0 HR — Barrel% 3.5% (signal) lifted to league ~8.0% → projected 4.4%.
BABIP 0.300→0.258 regressednoise.225 AVG — BABIP 0.300 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.251 (xBA 0.244) → 0.258.
on-base + lineup1 R — his run rate over ~35 projected PA.
slugging + lineup4 RBI — his RBI rate over ~35 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 7 G) over ~35 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

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