Is Coby Mayo a buy or sell for fantasy baseball?

Hold — mixed signals; no compelling reason to add or drop right now.

What is Coby Mayo's rest-of-season outlook?

Roughly league-average with nothing unstable driving it. Hold.

389 PA · week 25

this weekHOLD

last weekHOLD

Coby Mayo

BAL·3B

data as of September 10, 2026·week 25

Hold · steady skill near league average (0.322); strikeout rate 31% is stable and high, caps the floor; hold steady — skill tracks near league, no edge either way.med 0.60

ROSHR 1AVG .203R 4RBI 5SB 0

Mayo is a hold — average skill, real contact, and a strikeout problem.

His expected wOBA is .322, just .007 above the league average of .315, and with 389 plate appearances it is stable enough to trust. His actual wOBA matches it exactly, so nothing about his line is being propped up by balls in play. The contact quality is genuinely good: 91.4 mph average exit velocity, a 48.3% hard-hit rate, and 12.8% barrels, all above league on a 234-ball sample well past the stabilization point. The problem is the strikeout rate, which has climbed to 31.4% across the season and is only getting worse. Contact that good should produce more than an average line, but a 31% strikeout rate eats the margin. There is no luck to sell and no suppressed skill to buy — just a bat stuck at the middle. Hold. 1 HR / 4 R / 5 RBI / .203 AVG is a drop-tier drag — a deep-league hold at best, not a stash.

VS His Norm

Barrel %12.8%—+2.7% ▲vs his ~10.1% career norm

Drivers

xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.322)
k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 31% is stable and high — caps the floor

metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?

Avg Exit Velo91.4 mph

lg avg 89.0 mph ▲+2.4 mphvs his norm —

234 / 50 BBE

Hard-Hit %48.3%

lg avg 40.0% ▲+8.3%vs his norm —

234 / 50 BBE

Barrel %12.8%

lg avg 8.0% ▲+4.8%vs his norm +2.7% ▲

234 / 60 BBE

xwOBA.322

lg avg .315 ▲+.007vs his norm —

389 / 160 PA

wOBA.322

lg avg .315 ▲+.007vs his norm —

389 / 200 PA

Strikeout %31.4%

lg avg 22.0% ▲+9.4%vs his norm —

389 / 60 PA

Walk %7.2%

lg avg 8.5% ▼−1.3%vs his norm —

389 / 120 PA

BABIP.272

lg avg .295 ▼−.023vs his norm +.005 ▲BABIP is above his ~.267 norm — expect it to fall.

234 / 800 BIP

Swinging-Strike %14.5%

lg avg 11.0% ▲+3.5%vs his norm —

389 / 50 PA

Chase %32.4%

lg avg 28.5% ▲+3.9%vs his norm —

389 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf

Barrel% 12.8%→11.6%signal1 HR — Barrel% 12.8% (signal) tempered to career ~10.1% → projected 11.6%.

BABIP 0.272→0.276 regressednoise.203 AVG — BABIP 0.272 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.278 (xBA 0.227) → 0.276.

on-base + lineup4 R — his run rate over ~38 projected PA.

slugging + lineup5 RBI — his RBI rate over ~38 projected PA.

run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (1 in 47 G) over ~38 projected PA.

rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

VS His Norm

Drivers

5×5 ROS Outlook

Comparisons