Rest of Season Projection
CobyCategoryManny
10HR →12
35R →43
37RBI →46
2SB2
.212AVG ←.204
Current Season
CobyCategoryManny
6HR →10
18R →28
19RBI →30
1SB1
.199AVG ←.174
What Each Player's System Trusts
Coby Mayo
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.305)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
Manny Machado
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.177 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
Coby Mayo: 10 HR / 35 R. Manny Machado: 12 HR / 43 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).