Rest of Season Projection
AlexCategoryCoby
9HR →10
41R ←36
27RBI →38
3SB ←2
.256AVG ←.210
Current Season
AlexCategoryCoby
5HR →6
28R ←18
18RBI →19
2SB ←1
.259AVG ←.199
What Each Player's System Trusts
Alex Bregman
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.322)
Coby Mayo
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.305)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
Alex Bregman: 9 HR / 41 R. Coby Mayo: 10 HR / 36 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).