233 PA · week 10
this weekBUY-LOW
last weekBUY-LOW
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Manny Machado
data as of June 3, 2026·week 10
Machado is a buy-low — contact intact, BA suppressed by bad luck.
His hard-hit rate has stepped up across the sample, now at 44.4% — good contact that has already passed its stabilization threshold and is holding above league average. His actual wOBA is .276, well below the .317 expected wOBA, and the gap is almost entirely BABIP: .176 against a league average of .295. BABIP needs around 800 balls in play to be reliable and he has 153, so that depression is luck, not a skill decline. His exit velocity and barrel rate are also at or above league average. The bat is fine. The results will catch up. Buy low.
Buy Low
med0.68
Drivers
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.176 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo90.1 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▲+1.1 mphtrustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL153 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %44.4%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+4.4%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL153 / 50 BBE
Barrel %8.5%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+0.5%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL153 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.317
lg avg .315 ▲+.002trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL233 / 160 PA
wOBA.276
lg avg .315 ▼−.039trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL233 / 200 PA
Strikeout %22.7%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+0.7%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL233 / 60 PA
Walk %11.6%
lg avg 8.5% ▲+3.1%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL233 / 120 PA
BABIP.176
lg avg .295 ▼−.119too early to trust
NOISE153 / 800 BIP