Rest of Season Projection
CobyCategoryRyan
10HR →11
36R ←31
38RBI ←36
2SB →6
.210AVG ←.207
Current Season
CobyCategoryRyan
6HR6
18R ←16
19RBI19
1SB →3
.199AVG →.207
What Each Player's System Trusts
Coby Mayo
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.305)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
Ryan McMahon
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.285 below league with no luck excuse
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 32% is stable and high — caps the floor
Coby Mayo: 10 HR / 36 R. Ryan McMahon: 11 HR / 31 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).