MLB Daily DeltaWeek 15 · July 5, 2026
Portrait of Austin Riley
Austin Riley
ATL · 3B
Change to
Portrait of Ryan McMahon
Ryan McMahon
NYY · 3B
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Austin Riley.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — home runs, runs, and RBI.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Austin Riley wins 3 categories (HR, R, RBI); Ryan McMahon wins 2 (SB, AVG).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Austin Riley
90.7
Ryan McMahon
90.8
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Austin Riley
43.1%
Ryan McMahon
49.2%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Austin Riley
9.5%
Ryan McMahon
11.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Austin Riley
32.5%
Ryan McMahon
30.6%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Austin Riley
15.5%
Ryan McMahon
14.7%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Austin Riley
.289
Ryan McMahon
.310
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Austin Riley
.200.230
lg AVG .295
now .209
.201
Ryan McMahon
.200.230
lg AVG .295
now .207
.222

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Austin Riley
59.20
now 8
8
Ryan McMahon
59.20
now 6
7
Runshigher is better
Austin Riley
2035.60
now 30
29
Ryan McMahon
2035.60
now 16
20
RBIhigher is better
Austin Riley
2037.20
now 32
31
Ryan McMahon
2037.20
now 19
24
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Austin Riley
1.805.20
now 3
3
Ryan McMahon
1.805.20
now 3
4
If you already own them — trade angle
SellAustin Riley — sell.conf 0.60
Hold · steadyRyan McMahon — hold.conf 0.60
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