Is Jackson Holliday a buy or sell for fantasy baseball?

Hold — mixed signals; no compelling reason to add or drop right now.

What is Jackson Holliday's rest-of-season outlook?

Roughly league-average with nothing unstable driving it. Hold.

333 PA · week 25

this weekHOLD

last weekNO CALL

Jackson Holliday

BAL·2B

data as of September 10, 2026·week 25

new call as of September 10, 2026

Hold · leans sell skill near league average (0.302); a hold that leans sell — skill sits a hair below league, nothing to chase.med 0.60

ROSHR 0AVG .202R 6RBI 5SB 3

Holliday is a hold — near-average skill, nothing unstable moving it.

His expected wOBA is .302, which is .013 below the league average of .315, and he has 333 plate appearances — well past the point where that number becomes reliable. His actual wOBA is .294, tracking closely, so balls in play are not distorting his line in either direction. The contact quality mirrors the surface: an 87.1 mph average exit velocity, a 34.2% hard-hit rate and a 6.8% barrel rate, each just under league average across a sample large enough to trust. His plate discipline is steady, with a 10.2% walk rate above league and a 26.3% chase rate below it. One caveat: his expected wOBA has been stepping down across the season rather than holding flat. That softens the buy case but does not make this a sell. There is no luck gap to exploit and no clear edge in either direction. Hold. 0 HR / 6 R / 5 RBI / 3 SB / .202 AVG is a drop-tier drag — deep-league only, not a must-add.

VS His Norm

Barrel %6.8%—−1.1% ▼vs his ~7.9% career norm

Drivers

xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.302)

metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?

Avg Exit Velo87.1 mph

lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−1.9 mphvs his norm —

219 / 50 BBE

Hard-Hit %34.2%

lg avg 40.0% ▼−5.8%vs his norm —

219 / 50 BBE

Barrel %6.8%

lg avg 8.0% ▼−1.2%vs his norm −1.1% ▼

219 / 60 BBE

xwOBA.302

lg avg .315 ▼−.013vs his norm —

333 / 160 PA

wOBA.294

lg avg .315 ▼−.021vs his norm —

333 / 200 PA

Strikeout %24.0%

lg avg 22.0% ▲+2.0%vs his norm —

333 / 60 PA

Walk %10.2%

lg avg 8.5% ▲+1.7%vs his norm —

333 / 120 PA

BABIP.294

lg avg .295 ▼−.001vs his norm +.009 ▲BABIP is above his ~.285 norm — expect it to fall.

219 / 800 BIP

Swinging-Strike %12.1%

lg avg 11.0% ▲+1.1%vs his norm —

333 / 50 PA

Chase %26.3%

lg avg 28.5% ▼−2.2%vs his norm —

333 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf

Barrel% 6.8%→7.3%signal0 HR — Barrel% 6.8% (signal) lifted to career ~7.9% → projected 7.3%.

BABIP 0.294→0.273 regressednoise.202 AVG — BABIP 0.294 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.266 (xBA 0.242) → 0.273.

on-base + lineup6 R — his run rate over ~33 projected PA.

slugging + lineup5 RBI — his RBI rate over ~33 projected PA.

run rate / role3 SB — his steal rate (3 in 12 G) over ~33 projected PA.

rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

VS His Norm

Drivers

5×5 ROS Outlook

Comparisons