142 PA · week 17
this weekHOLD
last weekNO CALL
Jackson Holliday
data as of July 18, 2026·week 17
new call as of July 18, 2026
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (0.328); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSHR 3AVG .191R 25RBI 21SB 11
Holliday is a hold — league average, nothing to chase.
ROS projects HR 2 YTD → 3 ROS, AVG .242 YTD → .191 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Barrel %10.7%—+2.8% ▲vs his ~7.9% career norm
Drivers
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.328)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo87.3 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−1.7 mphvs his norm —
84 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %36.9%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−3.1%vs his norm —
84 / 50 BBE
Barrel %10.7%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+2.7%vs his norm +2.8% ▲
84 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.328
lg avg .315 ▲+.013vs his norm —xwOBA is above the ~.315 league average — expect it to fall.
142 / 160 PA
wOBA.313
lg avg .315 ▼−.002vs his norm —wOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
142 / 200 PA
Strikeout %26.1%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+4.1%vs his norm —
142 / 60 PA
Walk %14.8%
lg avg 8.5% ▲+6.3%vs his norm —
142 / 120 PA
BABIP.253
lg avg .295 ▼−.042vs his norm −.032 ▼BABIP is below his ~.285 norm — expect it to rise.
84 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %13.8%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+2.8%vs his norm —
142 / 50 PA
Chase %24.5%
lg avg 28.5% ▼−4.0%vs his norm —
142 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 10.7%→8.7%signal3 HR — Barrel% 10.7% (signal) tempered to career ~7.9% → projected 8.7%.
BABIP 0.253→0.245 regressednoise.191 AVG — BABIP 0.253 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.244 (xBA 0.227) → 0.245.
on-base + lineup25 R — his run rate over ~139 projected PA.
slugging + lineup21 RBI — his RBI rate over ~139 projected PA.
run rate / role11 SB — his steal rate (3 in 12 G) over ~139 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.