MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 18, 2026
Engraved portrait of Daniel Schneemann
261 PA · week 17
this weekSELL
last weekHOLD

Daniel Schneemann

data as of July 18, 2026·week 17
flipped from HOLD on July 18, 2026
Sell stable xwOBA 0.288 below league with no luck excuse; strikeout rate 29% is stable and high, caps the floor; move on.med 0.60
ROSHR 4AVG .211R 19RBI 19SB 3

Schneemann is a sell — skill below league, no luck excuse.

His expected wOBA is .288, which is .027 below the league average of .315, and he has enough plate appearances for that number to be reliable — the trajectory has been stepping down across the sample. His actual wOBA is .271, nearly identical, so there is no bad-luck story pulling the line down. His BABIP is near league average. His average exit velocity (88.0 mph) and hard-hit rate (38.3%) are both below league, and the strikeout rate is 29.1% — stable and high, and it has been stepping up. That strikeout rate caps his floor: even when the contact is okay, the Ks kill rallies. There is no luck waiting to break; the skill is simply below average. Sell. 4 HR / 19 R / 19 RBI / 3 SB / .211 AVG — a streaming-only bat in deep leagues; drop for a higher-floor wire add.

VS His Norm

  • Barrel %8.0%−1.3%vs his ~9.3% career norm

Drivers

  • xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.288 below league with no luck excuse
  • k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 29% is stable and high — caps the floor
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo88.0 mph
88.0 mph*
lg avg 89.0 mph −1.0 mphvs his norm —
163 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %38.3%
38.3%*
lg avg 40.0% −1.7%vs his norm —
163 / 50 BBE
Barrel %8.0%
norm8.0%*
lg avg 8.0% 0.0%vs his norm −1.3%
163 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.288
believable since May 26.288*
lg avg .315 −.027vs his norm —
261 / 160 PA
wOBA.271
.271*
lg avg .315 −.044vs his norm —
261 / 200 PA
Strikeout %29.1%
29.1%*
lg avg 22.0% +7.1%vs his norm —
261 / 60 PA
Walk %8.4%
8.4%*
lg avg 8.5% −0.1%vs his norm —
261 / 120 PA
BABIP.280
norm.280*
lg avg .295 −.015vs his norm +.003 BABIP is above his ~.277 normexpect it to fall.
163 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %15.8%
15.8%*
lg avg 11.0% +4.8%vs his norm —
261 / 50 PA
Chase %34.2%
34.2%*
lg avg 28.5% +5.7%vs his norm —
261 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 8.0%→8.7%signal4 HR — Barrel% 8.0% (signal) lifted to career ~9.3% → projected 8.7%.
BABIP 0.280→0.283 regressednoise.211 AVG — BABIP 0.280 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.284 (xBA 0.221) → 0.283.
on-base + lineup19 R — his run rate over ~172 projected PA.
slugging + lineup19 RBI — his RBI rate over ~172 projected PA.
run rate / role3 SB — his steal rate (3 in 48 G) over ~172 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

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