MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Engraved portrait of Daniel Schneemann
281 PA · week 25
this weekSELL
last weekHOLD

Daniel Schneemann

data as of September 10, 2026·week 25
flipped from HOLD on September 10, 2026
Sell stable xwOBA 0.286 below league with no luck excuse; strikeout rate 30% is stable and high, caps the floor; move on.med 0.61
ROSHR 1AVG .205R 4RBI 4SB 1

Schneemann is a sell — the skill is below league and slipping.

His expected wOBA is .286, .029 below the league average of .315, and he has 281 plate appearances — well past the point where that number becomes reliable. The bat is not being held down by bad luck: his actual wOBA of .267 tracks right with it, and his contact quality sits below league across the board, with 87.8 mph average exit velocity, a 37.2% hard-hit rate, and 7.5% barrels. What makes this worse is the direction. His expected wOBA has been stepping down across the sample, and his strikeout rate has been stepping up — now 29.9% against a league average of 22.0%, with a swinging-strike rate of 15.8%. That combination eats the floor. There is no luck story to fall back on. Sell. 1 HR / 4 R / 4 RBI / 1 SB / .205 AVG rest of the way: streaming-only fringe, safe to drop.

VS His Norm

  • Barrel %7.5%−1.8%vs his ~9.3% career norm

Drivers

  • xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.286 below league with no luck excuse
  • k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo87.8 mph
87.8 mph*
lg avg 89.0 mph −1.2 mphvs his norm —
173 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %37.2%
37.2%*
lg avg 40.0% −2.8%vs his norm —
173 / 50 BBE
Barrel %7.5%
norm7.5%*
lg avg 8.0% −0.5%vs his norm −1.8%
173 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.286
believable since May 26.286*
lg avg .315 −.029vs his norm —
281 / 160 PA
wOBA.267
.267*
lg avg .315 −.048vs his norm —
281 / 200 PA
Strikeout %29.9%
29.9%*
lg avg 22.0% +7.9%vs his norm —
281 / 60 PA
Walk %8.5%
8.5%*
lg avg 8.5% 0.0%vs his norm —
281 / 120 PA
BABIP.281
norm.281*
lg avg .295 −.014vs his norm +.004 BABIP is above his ~.277 normexpect it to fall.
173 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %15.8%
15.8%*
lg avg 11.0% +4.8%vs his norm —
281 / 50 PA
Chase %33.3%
33.3%*
lg avg 28.5% +4.8%vs his norm —
281 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 7.5%→8.4%signal1 HR — Barrel% 7.5% (signal) lifted to career ~9.3% → projected 8.4%.
BABIP 0.281→0.283 regressednoise.205 AVG — BABIP 0.281 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.284 (xBA 0.221) → 0.283.
on-base + lineup4 R — his run rate over ~39 projected PA.
slugging + lineup4 RBI — his RBI rate over ~39 projected PA.
run rate / role1 SB — his steal rate (3 in 48 G) over ~39 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

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