week 25
this weekHOLD
last weekNO CALL
Sam Hentges
data as of September 10, 2026·week 25
ON THE 15-DAY IL
new call
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (3.75); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 5ERA 3.70WHIP 1.24W 0–0SV 0
Hentges is a hold — league average, nothing unstable pulling him.
ROS projects K 9 YTD → 5 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Strikeout %22.7%—−2.6% ▼vs his ~25.4% career norm
Drivers
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.75)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed30.4%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−9.6%vs his norm —
92 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed4.3%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−3.7%vs his norm —
92 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.300
lg avg .315 ▼−.015vs his norm —xwOBA Allowed is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
154 / 200 TBF
xERA3.75
lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.35vs his norm —xERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
154 / 200 TBF
ERA3.27
lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.83vs his norm —ERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
33 / 200 IP
Strikeout %22.7%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+0.7%vs his norm −2.6% ▼
154 / 70 TBF
Walk %14.9%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+6.9%vs his norm +5.7% ▲Walk % is above his ~9.3% norm — expect it to fall.
154 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.326
lg avg .295 ▲+.031vs his norm —BABIP Against is above the ~.295 league average — expect it to fall.
92 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %12.0%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+1.0%vs his norm —
154 / 60 TBF
Chase %25.5%
lg avg 28.5% ▼−3.0%vs his norm —
154 / 60 TBF
Fastball Velo94.4 mph
lg avg 94.0 mph ▲+0.4 mphvs his norm —
617 / 50 PITCHES
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 22.7%→24.2%signal5 K — K% 22.7% (signal) lifted to career ~25.4% → projected 24.2% over ~4 remaining IP.
xERA 3.75noise3.70 ERA — xERA 3.75 (noise) blended 0% skill / 100% league 3.70 at 8 IP.
BB% 14.9% + contactnoise1.24 WHIP — a 15% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.299 gives a 1.66 skill WHIP, blended 0…
run support + role0-0 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (middle)0 SV — role: middle, not in the save mix.
rosterdeep3.70 ERA, 1.24 WHIP
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.