week 31
this weekHOLD
last weekNO CALL
Sam Hentges
data as of October 26, 2026·week 31
new call as of October 26, 2026
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (3.81); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 0WHIP 1.24ERA 3.70W 0–0SV 0
Hentges is a hold — league-average skill, no edge either way.
ROS projects K 9 YTD → 0 ROS, WHIP 1.57 YTD → 1.24 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Walk %14.5%—+5.3% ▲vs his ~9.3% career norm
- Strikeout %23.7%—−1.6% ▼vs his ~25.4% career norm
Drivers
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.81)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed30.1%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−9.9%vs his norm —
103 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed3.9%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−4.1%vs his norm —
103 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.301
lg avg .315 ▼−.014vs his norm —xwOBA Allowed is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
173 / 200 TBF
xERA3.81
lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.29vs his norm —xERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
173 / 200 TBF
ERA3.19
lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.91vs his norm —ERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
36.7 / 200 IP
Strikeout %23.7%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+1.7%vs his norm −1.6% ▼
173 / 70 TBF
Walk %14.5%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+6.5%vs his norm +5.3% ▲
173 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.340
lg avg .295 ▲+.045vs his norm —BABIP Against is above the ~.295 league average — expect it to fall.
103 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %11.6%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+0.6%vs his norm —
173 / 60 TBF
Chase %24.8%
lg avg 28.5% ▼−3.7%vs his norm —
173 / 60 TBF
Fastball Velo94.5 mph
lg avg 94.0 mph ▲+0.5 mphvs his norm —
687 / 50 PITCHES
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 23.7%→24.6%signal0 K — K% 23.7% (signal) lifted to career ~25.4% → projected 24.6% over ~0 remaining IP.
xERA 3.81noise3.70 ERA — xERA 3.81 (noise) blended 0% skill / 100% league 3.70 at 8 IP.
BB% 14.5% + contactsignal1.24 WHIP — a 14% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.301 gives a 1.63 skill WHIP, blended 0…
run support + role0-0 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (middle)0 SV — role: middle, not in the save mix.
rosterdeep3.70 ERA, 1.24 WHIP
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.