258 PA · week 10
this weekBUY-LOW
last weekBUY-LOW
————————
Pete Alonso
data as of June 3, 2026·week 10
Alonso is a buy-low — BABIP is doing all the damage.
His contact quality has stepped up across the sample, with a hard-hit rate of 55.0% — 15 points above league average — and enough batted balls to trust. His exit velocity and barrel rate are also well above league and stable. His expected wOBA is .361, .030 above league average and .030 above his actual .331 wOBA. The gap is his BABIP of .269, which is 26 points below league average and still unstable at 171 balls in play. BABIP is a luck stat driven by where balls land, not how hard he hits them, and his sample is far short of the 800 BIP needed to be reliable. The bat is producing like a star; the bounces just aren't there yet. Buy low.
Buy Low
med0.66
Drivers
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.269 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo95.0 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▲+6.0 mphtrustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL171 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %55.0%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+15.0%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL171 / 50 BBE
Barrel %12.3%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+4.3%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL171 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.361
lg avg .315 ▲+.046trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL258 / 160 PA
wOBA.331
lg avg .315 ▲+.016trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL258 / 200 PA
Strikeout %22.9%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+0.9%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL258 / 60 PA
Walk %10.5%
lg avg 8.5% ▲+2.0%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL258 / 120 PA
BABIP.269
lg avg .295 ▼−.026too early to trust
NOISE171 / 800 BIP