MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 19, 2026
Portrait of Pete Alonso
Pete Alonso
BAL · 1B
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Portrait of Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
TOR · 1B
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Vladimir Guerrero Jr..

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — runs, steals, and average.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. wins 3 categories (R, SB, AVG); Pete Alonso wins 2 (HR, RBI).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Pete Alonso
93.8
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
90.2
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Pete Alonso
55.0%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
44.9%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Pete Alonso
12.6%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
6.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Pete Alonso
26.1%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
31.2%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Pete Alonso
12.3%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
9.9%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Pete Alonso
.376
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
.344
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Pete Alonso
.210.320
lg AVG .295
now .237
.253
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
.210.320
lg AVG .295
now .298
.286

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Pete Alonso
514.20
now 11
7
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
514.20
now 3
5
Runshigher is better
Pete Alonso
22.4038.60
now 34
26
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
22.4038.60
now 35
27
RBIhigher is better
Pete Alonso
2042.80
now 36
27
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
2042.80
now 24
19
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Pete Alonso
.8006.20
now 2
2
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
.8006.20
now 5
4
If you already own them — trade angle
BuyPete Alonso — buy.conf 0.72
BuyVladimir Guerrero Jr. — buy.conf 0.66
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