MLB Daily DeltaWeek 16 · July 12, 2026
Portrait of Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
TOR · 1B
Change to
Portrait of Willson Contreras
Willson Contreras
BOS · 1B
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Vladimir Guerrero Jr..

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — runs, steals, and average.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. wins 3 categories (R, SB, AVG); Willson Contreras wins 2 (HR, RBI).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
90.0
Willson Contreras
90.6
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
44.3%
Willson Contreras
46.7%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
7.0%
Willson Contreras
14.2%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
31.3%
Willson Contreras
33.7%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
9.5%
Willson Contreras
14.7%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
.344
Willson Contreras
.390
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
.240.320
lg AVG .295
now .298
.287
Willson Contreras
.240.320
lg AVG .295
now .286
.255

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
514.20
now 3
5
Willson Contreras
514.20
now 11
8
Runshigher is better
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
2039.40
now 35
31
Willson Contreras
2039.40
now 26
24
RBIhigher is better
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
2037.80
now 24
21
Willson Contreras
2037.80
now 33
30
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
.0006.60
now 5
4
Willson Contreras
.0006.60
now 1
1
If you already own them — trade angle
BuyVladimir Guerrero Jr. — buy.conf 0.66
BuyWillson Contreras — buy.conf 0.75
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