Who's more valuable, rest of season
Freddie Freeman.
He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — runs, steals, and average. Willson Contreras’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.
Head-to-head
HR
▶
◀
R
RBI
▶
◀
SB
◀
AVG
Freddie Freeman wins 3 categories (R, SB, AVG); Willson Contreras wins 2 (HR, RBI).
04
Under the hood
Underlying skill — each value vs league avgAvg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Freddie Freeman
90.5
Willson Contreras
90.5
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Freddie Freeman
44.9%
Willson Contreras
46.9%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Freddie Freeman
10.5%
Willson Contreras
14.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Freddie Freeman
27.3%
Willson Contreras
34.0%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Freddie Freeman
10.7%
Willson Contreras
14.8%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Freddie Freeman
.380
Willson Contreras
.388
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05
The tape
Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Freddie Freeman
.240.300
lg AVG .295
now .266
.277
Willson Contreras
.240.300
lg AVG .295
now .286
.251
Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Freddie Freeman
513.40
now 8
5
Willson Contreras
513.40
now 11
7
Runshigher is better
Freddie Freeman
2032.20
now 29
22
Willson Contreras
2032.20
now 26
21
RBIhigher is better
Freddie Freeman
2037
now 30
23
Willson Contreras
2037
now 33
26
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Freddie Freeman
.0003.20
now 2
2
Willson Contreras
.0003.20
now 1
1
If you already own them — trade angle
BuyFreddie Freeman — buy.conf 0.73
BuyWillson Contreras — buy.conf 0.75

