Rest of Season Projection
FreddieCategoryWillson
15HR15
43R ←40
44RBI →51
3SB ←2
.275AVG ←.262
Current Season
FreddieCategoryWillson
8HR →11
29R ←26
30RBI →33
2SB ←1
.266AVG →.286
What Each Player's System Trusts
Freddie Freeman
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.371, +0.056 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Willson Contreras
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.396, +0.081 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Freddie Freeman: 15 HR / 43 R. Willson Contreras: 15 HR / 40 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).