Rest of Season Projection
LuisCategoryWillson
10HR →15
37R →41
52RBI52
3SB ←2
.283AVG ←.260
Current Season
LuisCategoryWillson
5HR →11
21R →26
30RBI →33
2SB ←1
.264AVG →.286
What Each Player's System Trusts
Luis García Jr.
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.324)
Willson Contreras
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.396, +0.081 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Luis García Jr.: 10 HR / 37 R. Willson Contreras: 15 HR / 41 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).