MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 19, 2026
Portrait of Luis García Jr.
Luis García Jr.
WSH · 1B
Change to
Portrait of Willson Contreras
Willson Contreras
BOS · 1B
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22, 1 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Luis García Jr. wins 2 (SB, AVG); Willson Contreras wins 2 (HR, R); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Luis García Jr.
91.9
Willson Contreras
90.7
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Luis García Jr.
46.9%
Willson Contreras
46.9%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Luis García Jr.
10.5%
Willson Contreras
14.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Luis García Jr.
40.5%
Willson Contreras
34.0%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Luis García Jr.
10.3%
Willson Contreras
14.7%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Luis García Jr.
.360
Willson Contreras
.389
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Luis García Jr.
.240.300
lg AVG .295
now .264
.280
Willson Contreras
.240.300
lg AVG .295
now .286
.254

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Luis García Jr.
513.80
now 5
4
Willson Contreras
513.80
now 11
7
Runshigher is better
Luis García Jr.
2029.20
now 21
19
Willson Contreras
2029.20
now 26
21
RBIhigher is better
Luis García Jr.
23.8036.20
now 30
27
Willson Contreras
23.8036.20
now 33
27
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Luis García Jr.
.0003.20
now 2
2
Willson Contreras
.0003.20
now 1
1
If you already own them — trade angle
BuyLuis García Jr. — buy.conf 0.69
BuyWillson Contreras — buy.conf 0.75
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