MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 21, 2026
Portrait of Alec Burleson
Alec Burleson
STL · 1B
Change to
Portrait of Willson Contreras
Willson Contreras
BOS · 1B
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Alec Burleson.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — RBI, steals, and average.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Alec Burleson wins 3 categories (RBI, SB, AVG); Willson Contreras wins 2 (HR, R).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Alec Burleson
91.7
Willson Contreras
90.6
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Alec Burleson
48.4%
Willson Contreras
46.8%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Alec Burleson
11.1%
Willson Contreras
14.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Alec Burleson
35.4%
Willson Contreras
34.0%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Alec Burleson
10.4%
Willson Contreras
14.8%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Alec Burleson
.384
Willson Contreras
.393
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Alec Burleson
.240.300
lg AVG .295
now .281
.280
Willson Contreras
.240.300
lg AVG .295
now .286
.252

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Alec Burleson
513.40
now 7
5
Willson Contreras
513.40
now 11
7
Runshigher is better
Alec Burleson
2029.20
now 26
20
Willson Contreras
2029.20
now 26
21
RBIhigher is better
Alec Burleson
21.2042.80
now 38
29
Willson Contreras
21.2042.80
now 33
26
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Alec Burleson
.0003.20
now 2
2
Willson Contreras
.0003.20
now 1
1
If you already own them — trade angle
BuyAlec Burleson — buy.conf 0.74
BuyWillson Contreras — buy.conf 0.76
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