Rest of Season Projection
AlecCategoryWillson
12HR →15
38R →39
56RBI ←50
3SB ←2
.287AVG ←.263
Current Season
AlecCategoryWillson
7HR →11
26R26
38RBI ←33
2SB ←1
.281AVG →.286
What Each Player's System Trusts
Alec Burleson
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.373, +0.058 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Willson Contreras
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.395, +0.080 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Alec Burleson: 12 HR / 38 R. Willson Contreras: 15 HR / 39 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).

