247 PA · week 10
this weekBUY
last weekBUY
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Alec Burleson
data as of June 3, 2026·week 10
Burleson is a buy — elite contact, no luck in numbers.
His expected wOBA is .372, .057 above league, and he has 247 PA — well past the point where this number becomes reliable. His hard-hit rate has stepped up across the sample and now sits at 47.3%, well above 40.0 league average, on 184 batted balls, far past the stabilization threshold. His average exit velocity of 91.2 mph and barrel rate of 9.8% both support the contact quality. His actual wOBA is .344, just below his xwOBA, meaning he is not getting lucky — if anything, a small positive correction is possible. The bat is good, the process is proven, and there is no luck bubble to worry about. Buy.
Buy
med0.71
Drivers
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.372, +0.057 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo91.2 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▲+2.2 mphtrustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL184 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %47.3%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+7.3%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL184 / 50 BBE
Barrel %9.8%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+1.8%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL184 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.372
lg avg .315 ▲+.057trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL247 / 160 PA
wOBA.344
lg avg .315 ▲+.029trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL247 / 200 PA
Strikeout %15.8%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−6.2%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL247 / 60 PA
Walk %8.9%
lg avg 8.5% ▲+0.4%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL247 / 120 PA
BABIP.311
lg avg .295 ▲+.016too early to trust
NOISE184 / 800 BIP