Rest of Season Projection
AndrewCategoryPete
9HR →19
36R →52
36RBI →55
0SB →3
.314AVG ←.258
Current Season
AndrewCategoryPete
1HR →11
10R →34
10RBI →36
0SB →2
.354AVG ←.237
What Each Player's System Trusts
Andrew Vaughn
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.393 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.347 is 0.066 below the surface — regression coming
Pete Alonso
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.366, +0.051 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Andrew Vaughn: 9 HR / 36 R. Pete Alonso: 19 HR / 52 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).