Rest of Season Projection
NickCategoryPete
19HR19
58R ←52
61RBI ←55
9SB ←3
.252AVG →.258
Current Season
NickCategoryPete
10HR →11
39R ←34
41RBI ←36
6SB ←2
.288AVG ←.237
What Each Player's System Trusts
Nick Kurtz
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.398, +0.083 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 29% is stable and high — caps the floor
Pete Alonso
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.366, +0.051 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Nick Kurtz: 19 HR / 58 R. Pete Alonso: 19 HR / 52 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).