Is Ryan Waldschmidt a buy or sell for fantasy baseball?

Hold — mixed signals; no compelling reason to add or drop right now.

What is Ryan Waldschmidt's rest-of-season outlook?

Roughly league-average with nothing unstable driving it. Hold.

272 PA · week 25

this weekHOLD

last weekNO CALL

Ryan Waldschmidt

AZ·CF

data as of September 10, 2026·week 25

new call as of September 10, 2026

Hold · leans sell skill near league average (0.303); strikeout rate 29% is stable and high, caps the floor — BABIP 0.373 sits above league and is not yet stable, expect some of the average to regress; a hold that leans sell — skill sits a hair below league, nothing to chase.med 0.60

ROSHR 0AVG .243R 4RBI 3SB 2

Waldschmidt is a hold — league average, nothing pulling either way.

His expected wOBA is .303, a touch below the league average of .315, and he has 272 plate appearances, past the point where that number becomes reliable. His actual wOBA is .311, right on top of it, so there is no luck gap to chase in either direction. What is unstable is his BABIP: .373 against a league average of .295, on 167 balls in play when the stat needs around 800 to be trusted. Some of that average will come back. It is offset by a strikeout rate of 29%, well above league and stable, and a contact profile that sits under league — 86.9 mph off the bat, 29.9% hard-hit. He is who the numbers say he is. Hold.

Drivers

xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.303)
k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 29% is stable and high — caps the floor
babipNOISEBABIP 0.373 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress

metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?

Avg Exit Velo86.9 mph

lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−2.1 mphvs his norm —

167 / 50 BBE

Hard-Hit %29.9%

lg avg 40.0% ▼−10.1%vs his norm —

167 / 50 BBE

Barrel %6.6%

lg avg 8.0% ▼−1.4%vs his norm —

167 / 60 BBE

xwOBA.303

lg avg .315 ▼−.012vs his norm —

272 / 160 PA

wOBA.311

lg avg .315 ▼−.004vs his norm —

272 / 200 PA

Strikeout %29.0%

lg avg 22.0% ▲+7.0%vs his norm —

272 / 60 PA

Walk %7.7%

lg avg 8.5% ▼−0.8%vs his norm —

272 / 120 PA

BABIP.373

lg avg .295 ▲+.078vs his norm —BABIP is above the ~.295 league average — expect it to fall.

167 / 800 BIP

Swinging-Strike %13.7%

lg avg 11.0% ▲+2.7%vs his norm —

272 / 50 PA

Chase %24.2%

lg avg 28.5% ▼−4.3%vs his norm —

272 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf

Barrel% 6.6%→6.9%signal0 HR — Barrel% 6.6% (signal) lifted to league ~8.0% → projected 6.9%.

BABIP 0.373→0.361 regressednoise.243 AVG — BABIP 0.373 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.357 (xBA 0.244) → 0.361.

on-base + lineup4 R — his run rate over ~36 projected PA.

slugging + lineup3 RBI — his RBI rate over ~36 projected PA.

run rate / role2 SB — his steal rate (5 in 23 G) over ~36 projected PA.

rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

Drivers

5×5 ROS Outlook

Comparisons