Is Ryan Waldschmidt a buy or sell for fantasy baseball?

Sell — metrics are consistently below average with signal behind the decline.

What is Ryan Waldschmidt's rest-of-season outlook?

29.9% strikeouts and a 29.8% hard-hit rate; nothing under the hood.

284 PA · week 31

this weekSELL

last weekNO CALL

Ryan Waldschmidt

AZ·CF

data as of October 26, 2026·week 31

new call as of October 26, 2026

Sell stable xwOBA 0.297 below league with no luck excuse; strikeout rate 30% is stable and high, caps the floor; move on.med 0.59

ROSHR 0AVG .000R 0RBI 0SB 0

Ryan Waldschmidt is a sell — stable skill below league, and not unlucky.

His expected wOBA is .297, well below the .315 league average, and he has enough plate appearances for that number to be trusted. Too often, a hitter with a bat like that is being dragged down by bad bounces, but that is not the case here — his actual wOBA is .309, essentially in line with his expected mark, so the line is not a lie. It's what he's earned. It's not just below-league results either. His contact quality is poor across the board — 86.6 mph average exit velocity against a 89.0 mph league average, hard-hit rate of 29.8% well short of league's 40.0%, barrel rate of 6.4% against 8.0%. His strikeout rate is 29.9%, nearly eight points above league average, and climbing. The trend is not on his side either: both his expected wOBA and strikeout rate have stepped the wrong way as the sample has grown. Sell. The 0 HR / 0 R / 0 RBI / 0 SB / .000 AVG line is streaming-only; drop him and let the waiver wire work.

Drivers

xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.297 below league with no luck excuse
k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor

metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?

Avg Exit Velo86.6 mph

lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−2.4 mphvs his norm —

171 / 50 BBE

Hard-Hit %29.8%

lg avg 40.0% ▼−10.2%vs his norm —

171 / 50 BBE

Barrel %6.4%

lg avg 8.0% ▼−1.6%vs his norm —

171 / 60 BBE

xwOBA.297

lg avg .315 ▼−.018vs his norm —

284 / 160 PA

wOBA.309

lg avg .315 ▼−.006vs his norm —

284 / 200 PA

Strikeout %29.9%

lg avg 22.0% ▲+7.9%vs his norm —

284 / 60 PA

Walk %7.7%

lg avg 8.5% ▼−0.8%vs his norm —

284 / 120 PA

BABIP.370

lg avg .295 ▲+.075vs his norm —BABIP is above the ~.295 league average — expect it to fall.

171 / 800 BIP

Swinging-Strike %13.8%

lg avg 11.0% ▲+2.8%vs his norm —

284 / 50 PA

Chase %25.0%

lg avg 28.5% ▼−3.5%vs his norm —

284 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf

Barrel% 6.4%→6.7%signal0 HR — Barrel% 6.4% (signal) lifted to league ~8.0% → projected 6.7%.

BABIP 0.370→0.351 regressednoise.000 AVG — BABIP 0.370 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.346 (xBA 0.236) → 0.351.

on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~0 projected PA.

slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~0 projected PA.

run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (5 in 23 G) over ~0 projected PA.

rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

Drivers

5×5 ROS Outlook

Comparisons