TOR

96 mph fastball, 2.94 xERA — no luck needed here.

xERA 2.81, xwOBA .261 — the numbers beat the ERA.

98.8 mph and a 2.28 xERA — no luck needed.

3.37 xERA with a .218 BABIP flattering him

xwOBA .333 with 13% Ks — the profile says buy

44.7% BABIP against a 33% K rate — ERA will fall

13.4% strikeout rate can't hold a 1.81 ERA forever

xERA 5.95 dwarfs his 4.37 ERA — regression coming

3.20 ERA hides 3.89 xERA and 13.3% walk rate

35% strikeouts, but a .269 BABIP won't hold.

BABIP .424 but 17% hard-hit and zero barrels.

5.29 xERA and 12.6% walks — nothing fluky here.

K rate 17.5%, xERA 5.5 — zero luck baked in

14.6% strikeout rate, 6.02 xERA — hitters feast

xERA 5.91 with a .249 BABIP masking worse days

3.48 ERA hides a 4.44 xERA — nearly a full run

2% barrels with 84 mph exit velo — empty average.

24.6% hard-hit and 85.5 mph exit velo — no pop

29% hard-hit with 86 mph exit velo — no thump in this bat

Hard-hit 28% with a 2.5% barrel rate — hollow contact.

26.6% hard-hit, 86 mph exit velo — no power to sell