MLB Daily DeltaWeek 10 · June 3, 2026
Engraved portrait of José Soriano
week 10
this weekSELL-HIGH
last weekSELL-HIGH
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José Soriano

LAA·P
data as of June 3, 2026·week 10

Soriano is a sell-high — xERA says the ERA is built on luck.

Surface ERA flattered by an unsustainably low BABIP-against; xERA says regression. Sell high.

Sell High
high0.95

Drivers

  • babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.261 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
  • xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 4.06 is 1.34 above the ERA — regression coming
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed36.7%
36.7%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−3.3%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL188 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed9.0%
9.0%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+1.0%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL188 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.318
.318
lg avg .315 ▲+.003trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL314 / 200 TBF
xERA4.06
4.06
lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.04trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL314 / 200 TBF
ERA2.72
2.72
lg avg 4.10 ▼−1.38too early to trust
NOISE76 / 200 IP
Strikeout %27.1%
27.1%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+5.1%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL314 / 70 TBF
Walk %12.1%
12.1%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+4.1%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL314 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.261
.261
lg avg .295 ▼−.034too early to trust
NOISE188 / 800 BIP