week 25
this weekSELL
last weekSELL-HIGH
José Soriano
data as of September 10, 2026·week 25
flipped from SELL-HIGH on September 10, 2026
Sell stable xERA 4.44 +0.34 vs league with no luck excuse; move on.med 0.65 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 15ERA 4.32WHIP 1.37W 1–1SV 0
Soriano is a sell — the skill sits above league and the ERA isn't hiding it.
Stable skill below league and not unlucky. Sell.
VS His Norm
- Walk %10.4%—−0.5% ▼vs his ~10.9% career norm
- Strikeout %22.6%—−0.5% ▼vs his ~23.1% career norm
Drivers
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 4.44 +0.34 vs league with no luck excuse
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed37.4%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−2.6%vs his norm —
449 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed7.6%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−0.4%vs his norm —
449 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.324
lg avg .315 ▲+.009vs his norm —
681 / 200 TBF
xERA4.44
lg avg 4.10 ▲+0.34vs his norm —
681 / 200 TBF
ERA3.48
lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.62vs his norm —ERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
163 / 200 IP
Strikeout %22.6%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+0.6%vs his norm −0.5% ▼
681 / 70 TBF
Walk %10.4%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+2.4%vs his norm −0.5% ▼
681 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.284
lg avg .295 ▼−.011vs his norm —BABIP Against is below the ~.295 league average — expect it to rise.
449 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %13.5%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+2.5%vs his norm —
681 / 60 TBF
Chase %32.7%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+4.2%vs his norm —
681 / 60 TBF
Fastball Velo97.1 mph
lg avg 94.0 mph ▲+3.1 mphvs his norm —
2698 / 50 PITCHES
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 22.6%→22.7%signal15 K — K% 22.6% (signal) held to career ~23.1% → projected 22.7% over ~14 remaining IP.
xERA 4.44signal4.32 ERA — xERA 4.44 (signal) blended 65% skill / 35% league 4.10 at 76 IP.
BB% 10.4% + contactsignal1.37 WHIP — a 10% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.289 gives a 1.41 skill WHIP, blended 6…
run support + role1-1 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (starter)0 SV — role: starter, not in the save mix.
rosterdrop15 K ROS, 4.32 ERA
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.