José Soriano
Soriano is a hold — league-average skill, no luck story to sell.
His expected ERA is 4.33, which is within a few ticks of the league average of 4.10, and his xwOBA allowed of .322 is similarly near league average. Both metrics have stabilised with 466 batters faced, so the skill is what it says. His actual ERA may differ, but the underlying contact management is unremarkable: hard-hit rate and barrel rate are both right around league norms. He strikes out 24.7% of hitters, a tick above average, but walks 11.4% — three points above league — and the elevated free passes cap the ceiling. There is no unstable luck metric pulling the line in either direction. This is a roughly average pitcher with nothing to buy or sell. The xERA has actually ticked up across the sample, reinforcing that the ceiling is what you see. Hold. 67 K with a 4.25 ERA and 1.37 WHIP — this is a streaming-only option in most formats.
VS His Norm
- Strikeout %24.7%—+1.6% ▲vs his ~23.1% career norm
- Walk %11.4%—+0.5% ▲vs his ~10.9% career norm
Drivers
- xeraSIGNALskill near league average (4.33)
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.