week 10
this weekSELL
last weekSELL
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Jameson Taillon
data as of June 3, 2026·week 10
Taillon is a sell — his skill is below league with no luck excuse.
His xERA is 5.27, more than a run above the league average of 4.10, and he has faced enough batters for that number to be reliable. He allows barrels on 14.9% of batted balls, nearly double the league rate, and his hard-hit rate is just below league, so the contact against him is not weak. His strikeout rate is at 20.1%, a tick below average, and his walk rate is exactly in line. There is no suppressed BABIP or other luck story to rescue the line. The trend is also going the wrong way: his xERA has been stepping up as the season goes on, not down. The surface matches the skill, and the skill is not where you want it. Sell.
Sell
high0.90
Drivers
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 5.27 +1.17 vs league with no luck excuse
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed38.1%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−1.9%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL181 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed14.9%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+6.9%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL181 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.357
lg avg .315 ▲+.042trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL254 / 200 TBF
xERA5.27
lg avg 4.10 ▲+1.17trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL254 / 200 TBF
ERA5.37
lg avg 4.10 ▲+1.27too early to trust
NOISE60.3 / 200 IP
Strikeout %20.1%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−1.9%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL254 / 70 TBF
Walk %7.9%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−0.1%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL254 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.235
lg avg .295 ▼−.060too early to trust
NOISE181 / 800 BIP