MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Engraved portrait of Myles Straw
293 PA · week 25
this weekSELL
last weekHOLD

Myles Straw

data as of September 10, 2026·week 25
flipped from HOLD on September 10, 2026
Sell stable xwOBA 0.298 below league with no luck excuse; move on.med 0.58
ROSAVG .232HR 0R 6RBI 2SB 1

Straw is a sell — the bat is below league and the contact says so.

His expected wOBA is .298, seventeen points under the league average of .315, and he has 293 plate appearances — past the 160 where that number becomes reliable. Nothing in the profile suggests it should be higher. He averages 86.2 mph off the bat against a league average of 89.0, and his hard-hit rate of 26.6% sits more than 13 points below league. A 3.1% barrel rate does not buy that gap back. The one thing he does well is avoid strikeouts — 13.3% against 22.0% — but that protects his batting average, not his power, and the xwOBA has been stepping down across the sample rather than up. The actual wOBA of .289 tracks right with the expected number, so there is no bad luck waiting to reverse. The surface is the skill. Sell. 0 HR / 6 R / 2 RBI / 1 SB / .232 AVG is a drop — deep-league streaming-only, nothing more.

VS His Norm

  • Barrel %3.1%+1.3%vs his ~1.8% career norm

Drivers

  • xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.298 below league with no luck excuse
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo86.2 mph
86.2 mph*
lg avg 89.0 mph −2.8 mphvs his norm —
229 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %26.6%
26.6%*
lg avg 40.0% −13.4%vs his norm —
229 / 50 BBE
Barrel %3.1%
norm3.1%*
lg avg 8.0% −4.9%vs his norm +1.3%
229 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.298
believable since Jul 12.298*
lg avg .315 −.017vs his norm —
293 / 160 PA
wOBA.289
.289*
lg avg .315 −.026vs his norm —
293 / 200 PA
Strikeout %13.3%
13.3%*
lg avg 22.0% −8.7%vs his norm —
293 / 60 PA
Walk %8.2%
8.2%*
lg avg 8.5% −0.3%vs his norm —
293 / 120 PA
BABIP.266
norm.266*
lg avg .295 −.029vs his norm −.033 BABIP is below his ~.299 normexpect it to rise.
229 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %5.3%
5.3%*
lg avg 11.0% −5.7%vs his norm —
293 / 50 PA
Chase %22.8%
22.8%*
lg avg 28.5% −5.7%vs his norm —
293 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 3.1%→2.5%signal0 HR — Barrel% 3.1% (signal) tempered to career ~1.8% → projected 2.5%.
BABIP 0.266→0.276 regressednoise.232 AVG — BABIP 0.266 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.280 (xBA 0.254) → 0.276.
on-base + lineup6 R — his run rate over ~31 projected PA.
slugging + lineup2 RBI — his RBI rate over ~31 projected PA.
run rate / role1 SB — his steal rate (2 in 51 G) over ~31 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

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