MLB Daily DeltaWeek 31 · October 26, 2026
Engraved portrait of Myles Straw
330 PA · week 31
this weekSELL
last weekHOLD

Myles Straw

data as of October 26, 2026·week 31
flipped from HOLD on October 26, 2026
Sell stable xwOBA 0.292 below league with no luck excuse; move on.med 0.60
ROSAVG .000HR 0R 0RBI 0SB 0

Straw is a sell — the contact is weak and the line matches it.

He is averaging 86.3 mph off the bat, nearly three mph below league, and a 25.6% hard-hit rate that sits far under the 40% league mark. Those contact numbers come on 258 batted balls, well past the point where they become reliable, so this is not a small-sample blip. His expected wOBA is .292 against a league average of .315, and his actual wOBA of .288 tracks it almost exactly — there is no bad-luck story pulling the line down. The expected wOBA has been stepping down across the sample, which makes the gap look real rather than random. He does make contact, striking out far less than league and chasing less than most hitters, so there is a floor here. But a floor is not a reason to hold, because the barreled contact is not coming. Sell. With a projected 0 HR / 0 R / 0 RBI / 0 SB / .000 AVG, this is a deep-league drop, streaming-only filler at best.

VS His Norm

  • Barrel %2.7%—+0.9% ▲vs his ~1.8% career norm

Drivers

  • xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.292 below league with no luck excuse
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo86.3 mph
86.3 mph*
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−2.7 mphvs his norm —
258 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %25.6%
25.6%*
lg avg 40.0% ▼−14.4%vs his norm —
258 / 50 BBE
Barrel %2.7%
norm2.7%*
lg avg 8.0% ▼−5.3%vs his norm +0.9% ▲
258 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.292
believable since Jul 12.292*
lg avg .315 ▼−.023vs his norm —
330 / 160 PA
wOBA.288
.288*
lg avg .315 ▼−.027vs his norm —
330 / 200 PA
Strikeout %13.3%
13.3%*
lg avg 22.0% ▼−8.7%vs his norm —
330 / 60 PA
Walk %8.2%
8.2%*
lg avg 8.5% ▼−0.3%vs his norm —
330 / 120 PA
BABIP.271
norm.271*
lg avg .295 ▼−.024vs his norm −.028 ▼BABIP is below his ~.299 norm — expect it to rise.
258 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %5.2%
5.2%*
lg avg 11.0% ▼−5.8%vs his norm —
330 / 50 PA
Chase %23.1%
23.1%*
lg avg 28.5% ▼−5.4%vs his norm —
330 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 2.7%→2.3%signal0 HR — Barrel% 2.7% (signal) tempered to career ~1.8% → projected 2.3%.
BABIP 0.271→0.275 regressednoise.000 AVG — BABIP 0.271 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.276 (xBA 0.251) → 0.275.
on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~0 projected PA.
slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~0 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (2 in 51 G) over ~0 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

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