MLB Daily DeltaWeek 31 · October 26, 2026
Engraved portrait of Andrés Giménez
508 PA · week 31
this weekSELL
last weekSELL

Andrés Giménez

data as of October 26, 2026·week 31
Sell stable xwOBA 0.276 below league with no luck excuse; move on.med 0.63
ROSAVG .000HR 0R 0RBI 0SB 0

Giménez is a sell — weak contact and a shrinking expected line

His expected wOBA is .276, .039 below the league average of .315, and he has 508 plate appearances — well past the point where that number becomes reliable. The contact quality backs it up rather than contradicting it: 85.4 mph average exit velocity against a league mark of 89.0, a 24.9% hard-hit rate against 40.0%, and 3.4% barrels against 8.0%. His actual wOBA of .286 tracks right with the expected figure, so there is no bad-luck story pulling the line down. The expected number has been stepping down across the sample, not leveling off, and his 3.3% walk rate against an 8.5% league average gives the on-base side no cushion either. Nothing here is waiting to turn. The skill is below league and the results say so. Sell. A 0 HR / 0 R / 0 RBI / 0 SB / .000 AVG line is waiver-wire filler — drop-tier, streaming-only, not a hold.

VS His Norm

  • Barrel %3.4%—−0.4% ▼vs his ~3.8% career norm

Drivers

  • xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.276 below league with no luck excuse
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo85.4 mph
85.4 mph*
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−3.6 mphvs his norm —
381 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %24.9%
24.9%*
lg avg 40.0% ▼−15.1%vs his norm —
381 / 50 BBE
Barrel %3.4%
norm3.4%*
lg avg 8.0% ▼−4.6%vs his norm −0.4% ▼
381 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.276
.276*
lg avg .315 ▼−.039vs his norm —
508 / 160 PA
wOBA.286
believable since May 30.286*
lg avg .315 ▼−.029vs his norm —
508 / 200 PA
Strikeout %18.5%
18.5%*
lg avg 22.0% ▼−3.5%vs his norm —
508 / 60 PA
Walk %3.3%
3.3%*
lg avg 8.5% ▼−5.2%vs his norm —
508 / 120 PA
BABIP.284
norm.284*
lg avg .295 ▼−.011vs his norm +.007 ▲BABIP is above his ~.277 norm — expect it to fall.
381 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %14.0%
14.0%*
lg avg 11.0% ▲+3.0%vs his norm —
508 / 50 PA
Chase %43.9%
43.9%*
lg avg 28.5% ▲+15.4%vs his norm —
508 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 3.4%→3.6%signal0 HR — Barrel% 3.4% (signal) lifted to career ~3.8% → projected 3.6%.
BABIP 0.284→0.271 regressednoise.000 AVG — BABIP 0.284 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.259 (xBA 0.237) → 0.271.
on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~0 projected PA.
slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~0 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (6 in 57 G) over ~0 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

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