MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Engraved portrait of Andrés Giménez
462 PA · week 25
this weekSELL
last weekSELL

Andrés Giménez

TOR·SS
data as of September 10, 2026·week 25
Sell stable xwOBA 0.274 below league with no luck excuse; move on.med 0.63
ROSAVG .223HR 0R 3RBI 5SB 1

Giménez is a sell — below-league contact makes the 462-PA line real.

He is averaging 85.5 mph off the bat, three and a half miles below league average, and his hard-hit rate is 24.6% against a 40.0% league mark. Those are contact-quality numbers that stabilize well before his 345 batted balls, so there is no small-sample apology to make. His expected wOBA is .274, .041 below the league average of .315, and his actual wOBA of .287 is close enough that nothing is suppressing the line through bad bounces. He also chases 43.3% of pitches outside the zone and swings through 14.3% of them, so he will keep trading contact quality for contact. The profile is what it is. Sell. With 0 HR / 3 R / 5 RBI / 1 SB / .223 AVG, this is deep-league streaming-only at best — drop him and don't look back.

VS His Norm

  • Barrel %3.5%—−0.3% ▼vs his ~3.8% career norm

Drivers

  • xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.274 below league with no luck excuse
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo85.5 mph
85.5 mph*
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−3.5 mphvs his norm —
345 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %24.6%
24.6%*
lg avg 40.0% ▼−15.4%vs his norm —
345 / 50 BBE
Barrel %3.5%
norm3.5%*
lg avg 8.0% ▼−4.5%vs his norm −0.3% ▼
345 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.274
.274*
lg avg .315 ▼−.041vs his norm —
462 / 160 PA
wOBA.287
believable since May 30.287*
lg avg .315 ▼−.028vs his norm —
462 / 200 PA
Strikeout %18.8%
18.8%*
lg avg 22.0% ▼−3.2%vs his norm —
462 / 60 PA
Walk %3.5%
3.5%*
lg avg 8.5% ▼−5.0%vs his norm —
462 / 120 PA
BABIP.284
norm.284*
lg avg .295 ▼−.011vs his norm +.007 ▲BABIP is above his ~.277 norm — expect it to fall.
345 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %14.3%
14.3%*
lg avg 11.0% ▲+3.3%vs his norm —
462 / 50 PA
Chase %43.3%
43.3%*
lg avg 28.5% ▲+14.8%vs his norm —
462 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 3.5%→3.6%signal0 HR — Barrel% 3.5% (signal) lifted to career ~3.8% → projected 3.6%.
BABIP 0.284→0.268 regressednoise.223 AVG — BABIP 0.284 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.257 (xBA 0.235) → 0.268.
on-base + lineup3 R — his run rate over ~40 projected PA.
slugging + lineup5 RBI — his RBI rate over ~40 projected PA.
run rate / role1 SB — his steal rate (6 in 57 G) over ~40 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

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