Is Ernie Clement a buy or sell for fantasy baseball?

Sell — metrics are consistently below average with signal behind the decline.

What is Ernie Clement's rest-of-season outlook?

84.2 mph exit velo, 20.8% hard-hit — contact can't carry the 9% K rate.

621 PA · week 31

this weekSELL

last weekSELL

Ernie Clement

TOR·2B

data as of October 26, 2026·week 31

Sell stable xwOBA 0.258 below league with no luck excuse; move on.med 0.66

ROSAVG .000HR 0R 0RBI 0SB 0

Clement is a sell — the contact is light and the sample is set.

An 84.2 mph average exit velocity is five miles per hour below league, and his hard-hit rate of 20.8% is half the league mark of 40%. Those are the numbers that decide whether a bat plays, and both have been measured on 539 batted balls — well past the point where contact quality tells the truth. The expected wOBA of .258 sits 57 points under the league average of .315, and his actual wOBA of .284 is close enough that no bad luck is dragging the line down. The profile is punch-and-place: a 9.3% strikeout rate that looks tidy but comes with a 3.5% walk rate and a 44.4% chase rate, and the expected wOBA has been stepping down across the sample, not up. There is no luck to give back, no hidden power, and no reason to pay for the batting average. Sell. Projected at 0 HR / 0 R / 0 RBI / 0 SB / .000 AVG, that's a drop — a streaming-only fringe bat with no fantasy tax worth paying.

VS His Norm

Barrel %2.0%—−1.0% ▼vs his ~3.0% career norm

Drivers

xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.258 below league with no luck excuse

metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?

Avg Exit Velo84.2 mph

lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−4.8 mphvs his norm —

539 / 50 BBE

Hard-Hit %20.8%

lg avg 40.0% ▼−19.2%vs his norm —

539 / 50 BBE

Barrel %2.0%

lg avg 8.0% ▼−6.0%vs his norm −1.0% ▼

539 / 60 BBE

xwOBA.258

lg avg .315 ▼−.057vs his norm —

621 / 160 PA

wOBA.284

lg avg .315 ▼−.031vs his norm —

621 / 200 PA

Strikeout %9.3%

lg avg 22.0% ▼−12.7%vs his norm —

621 / 60 PA

Walk %3.5%

lg avg 8.5% ▼−5.0%vs his norm —

621 / 120 PA

BABIP.272

lg avg .295 ▼−.023vs his norm −.016 ▼BABIP is below his ~.288 norm — expect it to rise.

539 / 800 BIP

Swinging-Strike %8.7%

lg avg 11.0% ▼−2.3%vs his norm —

621 / 50 PA

Chase %44.4%

lg avg 28.5% ▲+15.9%vs his norm —

621 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf

Barrel% 2.0%→2.3%signal0 HR — Barrel% 2.0% (signal) lifted to career ~3.0% → projected 2.3%.

BABIP 0.272→0.262 regressednoise.000 AVG — BABIP 0.272 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.243 (xBA 0.240) → 0.262.

on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~0 projected PA.

slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~0 projected PA.

run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (2 in 59 G) over ~0 projected PA.

rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

VS His Norm

Drivers

5×5 ROS Outlook

Comparisons