Is Ernie Clement a buy or sell for fantasy baseball?

Sell — metrics are consistently below average with signal behind the decline.

What is Ernie Clement's rest-of-season outlook?

2% barrels with 84 mph exit velo — empty average.

566 PA · week 25

this weekSELL

last weekSELL

Ernie Clement

TOR·2B

data as of September 10, 2026·week 25

Sell stable xwOBA 0.263 below league with no luck excuse; move on.med 0.65

ROSAVG .253HR 0R 5RBI 4SB 0

Clement is a sell — below-league skill with no luck to blame.

His expected wOBA is .263, and the league average is .315 — a gap of more than 50 points, and he has the plate appearances for that number to be reliable. The driver is stable, and it is stepping down across the sample, not up. This is not a slump that will correct: his actual wOBA of .298 is already running above his expected mark, so if anything the surface flatters him. The contact quality backs the same read — 84.1 mph average exit velocity and a 20 percent hard-hit rate, both well below league, over 489 batted balls. He rarely strikes out, but he also almost never walks, and he chases 45 percent of pitches outside the zone. There is no luck story to fall back on. Sell. A 0 HR / 5 R / 4 RBI / 0 SB / .253 AVG line is streaming-only filler — drop him before the counting stats drag your roster.

VS His Norm

Barrel %2.0%—−1.0% ▼vs his ~3.0% career norm

Drivers

xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.263 below league with no luck excuse

metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?

Avg Exit Velo84.1 mph

lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−4.9 mphvs his norm —

489 / 50 BBE

Hard-Hit %20.0%

lg avg 40.0% ▼−20.0%vs his norm —

489 / 50 BBE

Barrel %2.0%

lg avg 8.0% ▼−6.0%vs his norm −1.0% ▼

489 / 60 BBE

xwOBA.263

lg avg .315 ▼−.052vs his norm —

566 / 160 PA

wOBA.298

lg avg .315 ▼−.017vs his norm —

566 / 200 PA

Strikeout %9.7%

lg avg 22.0% ▼−12.3%vs his norm —

566 / 60 PA

Walk %3.5%

lg avg 8.5% ▼−5.0%vs his norm —

566 / 120 PA

BABIP.287

lg avg .295 ▼−.008vs his norm −.001 ▼BABIP is below his ~.288 norm — expect it to rise.

489 / 800 BIP

Swinging-Strike %8.9%

lg avg 11.0% ▼−2.1%vs his norm —

566 / 50 PA

Chase %45.2%

lg avg 28.5% ▲+16.7%vs his norm —

566 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf

Barrel% 2.0%→2.3%signal0 HR — Barrel% 2.0% (signal) lifted to career ~3.0% → projected 2.3%.

BABIP 0.287→0.272 regressednoise.253 AVG — BABIP 0.287 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.250 (xBA 0.246) → 0.272.

on-base + lineup5 R — his run rate over ~43 projected PA.

slugging + lineup4 RBI — his RBI rate over ~43 projected PA.

run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (2 in 59 G) over ~43 projected PA.

rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

VS His Norm

Drivers

5×5 ROS Outlook

Comparisons