374 PA · week 17
this weekSELL
last weekSELL
VS His Norm
- Barrel %2.5%—−0.5% ▼vs his ~3.0% career norm
Drivers
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.274 below league with no luck excuse
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo85.2 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−3.8 mphvs his norm —
326 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %22.4%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−17.6%vs his norm —
326 / 50 BBE
Barrel %2.5%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−5.5%vs his norm −0.5% ▼
326 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.274
lg avg .315 ▼−.041vs his norm —
374 / 160 PA
wOBA.326
lg avg .315 ▲+.011vs his norm —
374 / 200 PA
Strikeout %9.4%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−12.6%vs his norm —
374 / 60 PA
Walk %3.5%
lg avg 8.5% ▼−5.0%vs his norm —
374 / 120 PA
BABIP.308
lg avg .295 ▲+.013vs his norm +.020 ▲BABIP is above his ~.288 norm — expect it to fall.
326 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %9.2%
lg avg 11.0% ▼−1.8%vs his norm —
374 / 50 PA
Chase %44.7%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+16.2%vs his norm —
374 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 2.5%→2.7%signal1 HR — Barrel% 2.5% (signal) lifted to career ~3.0% → projected 2.7%.
BABIP 0.308→0.281 regressednoise.263 AVG — BABIP 0.308 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.262 (xBA 0.257) → 0.281.
on-base + lineup20 R — his run rate over ~191 projected PA.
slugging + lineup18 RBI — his RBI rate over ~191 projected PA.
run rate / role2 SB — his steal rate (2 in 59 G) over ~191 projected PA.
rosterdeeprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.