Rest of Season Projection
ErnieCategoryJose
4HR →8
38R →48
33RBI ←21
3SB ←2
.271AVG ←.244
Current Season
ErnieCategoryJose
5HR ←4
25R →27
22RBI ←12
2SB ←1
.300AVG ←.246
What Each Player's System Trusts
Ernie Clement
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.321 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.284 is 0.058 below the surface — regression coming
Jose Altuve
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.314)
Ernie Clement: 4 HR / 38 R. Jose Altuve: 8 HR / 48 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).