Rest of Season Projection
ErnieCategoryKetel
4HR →17
40R →53
35RBI →53
3SB ←0
.264AVG →.293
Current Season
ErnieCategoryKetel
5HR →10
25R →35
22RBI →35
2SB ←0
.300AVG ←.262
What Each Player's System Trusts
Ernie Clement
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.280 below league with no luck excuse
Ketel Marte
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.266 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
Ernie Clement: 4 HR / 40 R. Ketel Marte: 17 HR / 53 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).