Rest of Season Projection
ErnieCategoryIsiah
4HR ←2
36R ←34
31RBI31
3SB →11
.266AVG ←.258
Current Season
ErnieCategoryIsiah
5HR ←1
25R ←12
22RBI ←11
2SB →4
.300AVG →.311
What Each Player's System Trusts
Ernie Clement
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.318 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.278 is 0.065 below the surface — regression coming
Isiah Kiner-Falefa
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.301)
Ernie Clement: 4 HR / 36 R. Isiah Kiner-Falefa: 2 HR / 34 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).