127 PA · week 18
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Alejandro Kirk
data as of July 28, 2026·week 18
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (0.297); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSHR 2AVG .223R 12RBI 12SB 0
Kirk is a hold — league-average across the board.
ROS projects HR 1 YTD → 2 ROS, AVG .150 YTD → .223 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Barrel %3.1%—−4.4% ▼vs his ~7.5% career norm
Drivers
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.297)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo87.8 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−1.2 mphvs his norm —
98 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %39.8%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−0.2%vs his norm —
98 / 50 BBE
Barrel %3.1%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−4.9%vs his norm −4.4% ▼
98 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.297
lg avg .315 ▼−.018vs his norm —xwOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
127 / 160 PA
wOBA.286
lg avg .315 ▼−.029vs his norm —wOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
127 / 200 PA
Strikeout %12.6%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−9.4%vs his norm —
127 / 60 PA
Walk %10.2%
lg avg 8.5% ▲+1.7%vs his norm —
127 / 120 PA
BABIP.242
lg avg .295 ▼−.053vs his norm −.037 ▼BABIP is below his ~.279 norm — expect it to rise.
98 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %8.0%
lg avg 11.0% ▼−3.0%vs his norm —
127 / 50 PA
Chase %29.5%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+1.0%vs his norm —
127 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 3.1%→6.1%signal2 HR — Barrel% 3.1% (signal) lifted to career ~7.5% → projected 6.1%.
BABIP 0.242→0.234 regressednoise.223 AVG — BABIP 0.242 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.233 (xBA 0.250) → 0.234.
on-base + lineup12 R — his run rate over ~131 projected PA.
slugging + lineup12 RBI — his RBI rate over ~131 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 5 G) over ~131 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.