108 PA · week 12
this weekHOLD
last week—
Josh Smith
data as of June 13, 2026·week 12
ON THE 10-DAY IL
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (0.300); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSHR 4AVG .230R 14RBI 14SB 5
Smith is a hold — league average with nothing to buy or sell.
ROS projects HR 0 YTD → 4 ROS, AVG .217 YTD → .230 ROS, R 6 YTD → 14 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Barrel %5.5%—+0.2% ▲vs his ~5.3% career norm
Drivers
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.300)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo87.9 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−1.1 mphvs his norm —
73 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %35.6%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−4.4%vs his norm —
73 / 50 BBE
Barrel %5.5%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−2.5%vs his norm +0.2% ▲
73 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.300
lg avg .315 ▼−.015vs his norm —xwOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
108 / 160 PA
wOBA.266
lg avg .315 ▼−.049vs his norm —wOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
108 / 200 PA
Strikeout %18.5%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−3.5%vs his norm —
108 / 60 PA
Walk %13.0%
lg avg 8.5% ▲+4.5%vs his norm —Walk % is above the ~8.5% league average — expect it to fall.
108 / 120 PA
BABIP.274
lg avg .295 ▼−.021vs his norm −.017 ▼BABIP is below his ~.291 norm — expect it to rise.
73 / 800 BIP
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 5.5%→5.3%signal4 HR — Barrel% 5.5% (signal) tempered to career ~5.3% → projected 5.3%.
BABIP 0.274→0.276 regressednoise.230 AVG — BABIP 0.274 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.276 (xBA 0.225) → 0.276.
on-base + lineup14 R — his run rate over ~253 projected PA.
slugging + lineup14 RBI — his RBI rate over ~253 projected PA.
run rate / role5 SB — his steal rate (2 in 31 G) over ~253 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.