MLB Daily DeltaWeek 10 · June 3, 2026
Engraved portrait of Braydon Fisher
week 10
this weekSELL-HIGH
last weekSELL-HIGH
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Braydon Fisher

TOR·P
data as of June 3, 2026·week 10

Fisher is a sell-high — his ERA is BABIP noise.

Surface ERA flattered by an unsustainably low BABIP-against; xERA says regression. Sell high.

Sell High
high0.95

Drivers

  • babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.230 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
  • xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.50 is 1.02 above the ERA — regression coming
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed39.5%
39.5%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−0.5%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL76 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed10.5%
10.5%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+2.5%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL76 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.297
.297
lg avg .315 ▼−.018too early to trust
NOISE123 / 200 TBF
xERA3.50
3.50
lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.60too early to trust
NOISE123 / 200 TBF
ERA2.48
2.48
lg avg 4.10 ▼−1.62too early to trust
NOISE32.7 / 200 IP
Strikeout %26.8%
26.8%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+4.8%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL123 / 70 TBF
Walk %9.8%
9.8%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+1.8%too early to trust
NOISE123 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.230
.230
lg avg .295 ▼−.065too early to trust
NOISE76 / 800 BIP