Rest of Season Projection
AndrewCategoryBraydon
32K →42
3.69ERA3.70
1.24WHIP ←1.25
1–2W1–4
1–3SV ←0–2
Current Season
AndrewCategoryBraydon
20K →33
4.18ERA →2.48
1.52WHIP →0.95
1W →2
1SV1
What Each Player's System Trusts
Andrew Morris
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.48 sits 0.62 below league — a real arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.383 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Braydon Fisher
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.259 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.69 is 0.99 above the ERA — regression coming
Andrew Morris: 32 K / 3.69 ERA. Braydon Fisher: 42 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).