Rest of Season Projection
AndrewCategoryLuke
38K →40
3.69ERA →3.67
1.25WHIP →1.24
1–3W →2–5
1–3SV ←0
Current Season
AndrewCategoryLuke
20K →25
4.18ERA →2.77
1.52WHIP →1.04
1W →2
1SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Andrew Morris
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.355 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Luke Weaver
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.250 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.12 is 0.35 above the ERA — regression coming
Andrew Morris: 38 K / 3.69 ERA. Luke Weaver: 40 K / 3.67 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).