Rest of Season Projection
ColeCategoryLuke
40K40
3.74ERA →3.67
1.25WHIP →1.24
1–3W →2–5
1–6SV ←0
Current Season
ColeCategoryLuke
18K →25
5.01ERA →2.77
1.54WHIP →1.04
1W →2
2SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Cole Sulser
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.91)
Luke Weaver
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.250 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.12 is 0.35 above the ERA — regression coming
Cole Sulser: 40 K / 3.74 ERA. Luke Weaver: 40 K / 3.67 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).