week 31
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Cole Sulser
data as of October 26, 2026·week 31
Hold · leans sell skill near league average (4.38); a hold that leans sell — skill sits a hair below league, nothing to chase.med 0.60 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 0ERA 4.14WHIP 1.27W 0–0SV 0–0
Sulser is a hold — league-average arm, nothing pulling either way.
ROS projects K 18 YTD → 0 ROS, ERA 5.01 YTD → 4.14 ROS, WHIP 1.54 YTD → 1.27 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Walk %7.2%—−3.4% ▼vs his ~10.6% career norm
- Strikeout %23.7%—−0.5% ▼vs his ~24.2% career norm
Drivers
- xeraSIGNALskill near league average (4.38)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed41.1%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+1.1%vs his norm —
163 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed11.7%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+3.7%vs his norm —
163 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.321
lg avg .315 ▲+.006vs his norm —
236 / 200 TBF
xERA4.38
lg avg 4.10 ▲+0.28vs his norm —
236 / 200 TBF
ERA4.31
lg avg 4.10 ▲+0.21vs his norm —ERA is above the ~4.10 league average — expect it to fall.
56.3 / 200 IP
Strikeout %23.7%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+1.7%vs his norm −0.5% ▼
236 / 70 TBF
Walk %7.2%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−0.8%vs his norm −3.4% ▼
236 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.299
lg avg .295 ▲+.004vs his norm —BABIP Against is above the ~.295 league average — expect it to fall.
163 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %13.8%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+2.9%vs his norm —
236 / 60 TBF
Chase %35.5%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+7.0%vs his norm —
236 / 60 TBF
Fastball Velo92.3 mph
lg avg 94.0 mph ▼−1.7 mphvs his norm —
938 / 50 PITCHES
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 23.7%→23.9%signal0 K — K% 23.7% (signal) held to career ~24.2% → projected 23.9% over ~0 remaining IP.
xERA 4.38signal4.14 ERA — xERA 4.38 (signal) blended 65% skill / 35% league 3.70 at 23 IP.
BB% 7.2% + contactsignal1.27 WHIP — a 7% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.296 gives a 1.28 skill WHIP, blended 65…
run support + role0-0 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (setup)0-0 SV — role: setup, in the save mix only situationally.
rosterdrop4.14 ERA, 1.27 WHIP
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.