week 25
this weekSELL
last weekHOLD
Cole Sulser
data as of September 10, 2026·week 25
flipped from HOLD on September 10, 2026
Sell stable xERA 4.66 +0.56 vs league with no luck excuse; move on.med 0.72 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 4ERA 4.32WHIP 1.27W 0–0SV 0–1
Sulser is a sell — expected ERA sits a half-run above league.
Stable skill below league and not unlucky. Sell.
VS His Norm
- Walk %7.3%—−3.3% ▼vs his ~10.6% career norm
- Strikeout %23.8%—−0.4% ▼vs his ~24.2% career norm
Drivers
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 4.66 +0.56 vs league with no luck excuse
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed40.8%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+0.8%vs his norm —
142 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed12.0%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+4.0%vs his norm —
142 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.331
lg avg .315 ▲+.016vs his norm —
206 / 200 TBF
xERA4.66
lg avg 4.10 ▲+0.56vs his norm —
206 / 200 TBF
ERA4.84
lg avg 4.10 ▲+0.74vs his norm —ERA is above the ~4.10 league average — expect it to fall.
48.3 / 200 IP
Strikeout %23.8%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+1.8%vs his norm −0.4% ▼
206 / 70 TBF
Walk %7.3%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−0.7%vs his norm −3.3% ▼
206 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.316
lg avg .295 ▲+.021vs his norm —BABIP Against is above the ~.295 league average — expect it to fall.
142 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %13.9%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+2.9%vs his norm —
206 / 60 TBF
Chase %35.9%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+7.4%vs his norm —
206 / 60 TBF
Fastball Velo92.3 mph
lg avg 94.0 mph ▼−1.7 mphvs his norm —
814 / 50 PITCHES
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 23.8%→24.0%signal4 K — K% 23.8% (signal) held to career ~24.2% → projected 24.0% over ~5 remaining IP.
xERA 4.66signal4.32 ERA — xERA 4.66 (signal) blended 65% skill / 35% league 3.70 at 23 IP.
BB% 7.3% + contactsignal1.27 WHIP — a 7% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.299 gives a 1.29 skill WHIP, blended 65…
run support + role0-0 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (setup)0-1 SV — role: setup, in the save mix only situationally.
rosterdrop4.32 ERA, 1.27 WHIP
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.