Rest of Season Projection
ErikCategoryLuke
45K ←40
3.70ERA →3.67
1.24WHIP1.24
0–0W →2–5
2–8SV ←0
Current Season
ErikCategoryLuke
24K →25
4.41ERA →2.77
1.41WHIP →1.04
0W →2
2SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Erik Miller
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.23)
Luke Weaver
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.250 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.12 is 0.35 above the ERA — regression coming
Erik Miller: 45 K / 3.70 ERA. Luke Weaver: 40 K / 3.67 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).