Rest of Season Projection
DanielCategoryLuke
35K →37
3.67ERA3.66
1.24WHIP1.24
1–2W →2–5
1–3SV ←0
Current Season
DanielCategoryLuke
27K ←25
1.93ERA ←2.77
0.99WHIP ←1.04
1W →2
1SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Daniel Lynch IV
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.250 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.79 is 1.01 above the ERA — regression coming
Luke Weaver
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.01)
Daniel Lynch IV: 35 K / 3.67 ERA. Luke Weaver: 37 K / 3.66 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).