Rest of Season Projection
AndrewCategoryGordon
36K ←23
3.69ERA ←3.85
1.25WHIP ←1.26
1–3W →3–8
1–3SV ←1–2
Current Season
AndrewCategoryGordon
20K ←14
4.18ERA →1.80
1.52WHIP →0.90
1W →4
1SV1
What Each Player's System Trusts
Andrew Morris
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.376 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Gordon Graceffo
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.169 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 5.31 is 3.64 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 13% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Andrew Morris: 36 K / 3.69 ERA. Gordon Graceffo: 23 K / 3.85 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).