Rest of Season Projection
LukeCategoryTyler
38K ←30
3.66ERA →3.62
1.24WHIP ←1.25
2–5W ←1–2
0SV →2–4
Current Season
LukeCategoryTyler
25K ←16
2.77ERA →2.36
1.04WHIP ←1.13
2W ←1
0SV →2
What Each Player's System Trusts
Luke Weaver
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.01)
Tyler Rogers
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (2.31)
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 15% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Luke Weaver: 38 K / 3.66 ERA. Tyler Rogers: 30 K / 3.62 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).