Rest of Season Projection
CooperCategoryTyler
27K →31
3.67ERA →3.62
1.24WHIP ←1.25
2–5W ←1–2
1–3SV →2–4
Current Season
CooperCategoryTyler
19K ←16
3.08ERA →2.36
1.10WHIP ←1.13
2W ←1
1SV →2
What Each Player's System Trusts
Cooper Criswell
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.270 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.23 is 0.37 above the ERA — regression coming
Tyler Rogers
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (2.30)
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 15% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Cooper Criswell: 27 K / 3.67 ERA. Tyler Rogers: 31 K / 3.62 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).