Rest of Season Projection
MattCategoryTyler
38K ←26
3.69ERA →3.61
1.24WHIP ←1.25
1–2W1–2
1–3SV →2–4
Current Season
MattCategoryTyler
27K ←16
4.68ERA →2.36
1.24WHIP →1.13
1W1
1SV →2
What Each Player's System Trusts
Matt Festa
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.37)
Tyler Rogers
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (2.28)
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 15% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Matt Festa: 38 K / 3.69 ERA. Tyler Rogers: 26 K / 3.61 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).