MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 27, 2026
Portrait of Matt Festa
Matt Festa
CLE · P
Change to
PJ Poulin
WSH · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Matt Festa.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP. PJ Poulin’s box score looks better right now, but it’s built on luck that won’t hold.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Matt Festa wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); PJ Poulin wins 1 (W); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Matt Festa
92.4
PJ Poulin
90.1
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Matt Festa
13.3%
PJ Poulin
6.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Matt Festa
24.4%
PJ Poulin
16.3%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Matt Festa
30.3%
PJ Poulin
23.7%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Matt Festa
40.3%
PJ Poulin
44.3%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Matt Festa
9.3%
PJ Poulin
9.4%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Matt Festa
.317
PJ Poulin
.353
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Matt Festa
2.615.27
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.68
3.72
PJ Poulin
2.615.27
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.20
3.78
WHIPlower is better
Matt Festa
1.151.55
now 1.24
1.24
PJ Poulin
1.151.55
now 1.46
1.26

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Matt Festa
4032.60
now 27
20
PJ Poulin
4032.60
now 18
15
Winshigher is better
Matt Festa
.0004.20
now 1
01
PJ Poulin
.0004.20
now 3
13
Saveshigher is better
Matt Festa
.0003.40
now 1
01
PJ Poulin
.0003.40
now 2
12
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeMatt Festa — hold.conf 0.50
Sell HighPJ Poulin — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
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