Rest of Season Projection
ErikCategoryPJ
43K ←29
3.70ERA ←3.82
1.24WHIP ←1.27
0–0W →3–6
2–7SV ←2–3
Current Season
ErikCategoryPJ
24K ←18
4.41ERA →3.20
1.41WHIP ←1.46
0W →3
2SV2
What Each Player's System Trusts
Erik Miller
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.44)
PJ Poulin
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.235 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 6.09 is 2.81 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 16% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Erik Miller: 43 K / 3.70 ERA. PJ Poulin: 29 K / 3.82 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).