MLB Daily DeltaWeek 20 · August 7, 2026
Portrait of Caleb Kilian
Caleb Kilian
PHI · P
Change to
Portrait of Erik Miller
Erik Miller
BOS · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22, 1 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Caleb Kilian wins 2 (ERA, W); Erik Miller wins 2 (K, WHIP); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Caleb Kilian
96.8
Erik Miller
96.8
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Caleb Kilian
13.8%
Erik Miller
13.7%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Caleb Kilian
27.7%
Erik Miller
32.2%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Caleb Kilian
31.8%
Erik Miller
26.3%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Caleb Kilian
36.1%
Erik Miller
27.4%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Caleb Kilian
8.2%
Erik Miller
6.8%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Caleb Kilian
.289
Erik Miller
.278
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Caleb Kilian
3.074.79
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.81
3.45
Erik Miller
3.074.79
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.41
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Caleb Kilian
1.051.51
now 1.15
1.33
Erik Miller
1.051.51
now 1.41
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Caleb Kilian
4034.60
now 29
15
Erik Miller
4034.60
now 24
18
Winshigher is better
Caleb Kilian
.0002.80
now 2
12
Erik Miller
.0002.80
now 0
00
Saveshigher is better
Caleb Kilian
.0004.40
now 3
12
Erik Miller
.0004.40
now 2
13
If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowCaleb Kilian — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
Hold · wait & seeErik Miller — hold.conf 0.50
Tweet