MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 27, 2026
Portrait of Caleb Kilian
Caleb Kilian
PHI · P
Change to
Portrait of Matt Festa
Matt Festa
CLE · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 1–1, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
◀
ERA
WHIP
▶
W
SV n/a

Caleb Kilian wins 1 (ERA); Matt Festa wins 1 (WHIP); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Caleb Kilian
96.8
Matt Festa
92.7
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Caleb Kilian
13.6%
Matt Festa
13.3%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Caleb Kilian
26.8%
Matt Festa
23.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Caleb Kilian
32.7%
Matt Festa
31.3%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Caleb Kilian
34.9%
Matt Festa
38.3%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Caleb Kilian
8.5%
Matt Festa
7.8%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Caleb Kilian
.292
Matt Festa
.305
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Caleb Kilian
3.135.12
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.81
3.57
Matt Festa
3.135.12
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.68
3.84
WHIPlower is better
Caleb Kilian
1.081.39
now 1.15
1.32
Matt Festa
1.081.39
now 1.24
1.28

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Caleb Kilian
4040.60
now 29
0
Matt Festa
4040.60
now 27
0
Winshigher is better
Caleb Kilian
.0002.80
now 2
0–0
Matt Festa
.0002.80
now 1
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
BuyCaleb Kilian — buy.conf 0.76
Hold · leans buyMatt Festa — hold.conf 0.60
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