MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 27, 2026
Portrait of Caleb Kilian
Caleb Kilian
PHI · P
Change to
Portrait of Tyler Holton
Tyler Holton
DET · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 1–1, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
◀
ERA
WHIP
▶
W
SV n/a

Caleb Kilian wins 1 (ERA); Tyler Holton wins 1 (WHIP); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Caleb Kilian
96.8
Tyler Holton
91.5
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Caleb Kilian
13.6%
Tyler Holton
11.0%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Caleb Kilian
26.8%
Tyler Holton
18.3%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Caleb Kilian
32.7%
Tyler Holton
28.2%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Caleb Kilian
34.9%
Tyler Holton
37.6%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Caleb Kilian
8.5%
Tyler Holton
5.4%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Caleb Kilian
.292
Tyler Holton
.300
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Caleb Kilian
3.314.49
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.81
3.57
Tyler Holton
3.314.49
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.23
3.75
WHIPlower is better
Caleb Kilian
1.061.46
now 1.15
1.32
Tyler Holton
1.061.46
now 1.37
1.30

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Caleb Kilian
4040.60
now 29
0
Tyler Holton
4040.60
now 24
0
Winshigher is better
Caleb Kilian
.0002.80
now 2
0–0
Tyler Holton
.0002.80
now 1
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
BuyCaleb Kilian — buy.conf 0.76
BuyTyler Holton — buy.conf 0.70
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