MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 28, 2026
Portrait of Caleb Kilian
Caleb Kilian
PHI · P
Change to
Jordan Hicks
CWS · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 1–1, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
▶
◀
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Caleb Kilian wins 1 (WHIP); Jordan Hicks wins 1 (ERA); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Caleb Kilian
96.8
Jordan Hicks
99.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Caleb Kilian
13.6%
Jordan Hicks
12.5%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Caleb Kilian
26.8%
Jordan Hicks
29.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Caleb Kilian
32.7%
Jordan Hicks
30.0%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Caleb Kilian
34.9%
Jordan Hicks
33.1%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Caleb Kilian
8.5%
Jordan Hicks
1.7%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Caleb Kilian
.292
Jordan Hicks
.263
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Caleb Kilian
26.69
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.81
3.57
Jordan Hicks
26.69
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.60
2.88
WHIPlower is better
Caleb Kilian
.9002.47
now 1.15
1.32
Jordan Hicks
.9002.47
now 2.09
1.43

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Caleb Kilian
4040.60
now 29
0
Jordan Hicks
4040.60
now 15
0
Winshigher is better
Caleb Kilian
.0002.80
now 2
0–0
Jordan Hicks
.0002.80
now 0
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
BuyCaleb Kilian — buy.conf 0.76
Buy LowJordan Hicks — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
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