MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 27, 2026
Portrait of Brandon Pfaadt
Brandon Pfaadt
AZ · P
Change to
Portrait of Matt Festa
Matt Festa
CLE · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Brandon Pfaadt.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — WHIP. Matt Festa’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
◀
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Brandon Pfaadt wins 1 categories (WHIP); Matt Festa wins 0 (none); 3 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Brandon Pfaadt
93.2
Matt Festa
92.7
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Brandon Pfaadt
10.6%
Matt Festa
13.3%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Brandon Pfaadt
16.7%
Matt Festa
23.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Brandon Pfaadt
32.1%
Matt Festa
31.3%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Brandon Pfaadt
34.9%
Matt Festa
38.3%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Brandon Pfaadt
7.2%
Matt Festa
7.8%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Brandon Pfaadt
.305
Matt Festa
.305
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Brandon Pfaadt
3.146.29
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.59
3.84
Matt Festa
3.146.29
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.68
3.84
WHIPlower is better
Brandon Pfaadt
1.171.48
now 1.41
1.27
Matt Festa
1.171.48
now 1.24
1.28

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Brandon Pfaadt
4042
now 30
0
Matt Festa
4042
now 27
0
Winshigher is better
Brandon Pfaadt
.0001.48
now 0
0–0
Matt Festa
.0001.48
now 1
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans buyBrandon Pfaadt — hold.conf 0.60
Hold · leans buyMatt Festa — hold.conf 0.60
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