MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 27, 2026
Portrait of Matt Festa
Matt Festa
CLE · P
Change to
Portrait of Tyler Holton
Tyler Holton
DET · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 1–1, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
▶
◀
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Matt Festa wins 1 (WHIP); Tyler Holton wins 1 (ERA); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Matt Festa
92.7
Tyler Holton
91.5
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Matt Festa
13.3%
Tyler Holton
11.0%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Matt Festa
23.9%
Tyler Holton
18.3%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Matt Festa
31.3%
Tyler Holton
28.2%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Matt Festa
38.3%
Tyler Holton
37.6%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Matt Festa
7.8%
Tyler Holton
5.4%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Matt Festa
.305
Tyler Holton
.300
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Matt Festa
3.385.05
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.68
3.84
Tyler Holton
3.385.05
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.23
3.75
WHIPlower is better
Matt Festa
1.171.44
now 1.24
1.28
Tyler Holton
1.171.44
now 1.37
1.30

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Matt Festa
4037.80
now 27
0
Tyler Holton
4037.80
now 24
0
Winshigher is better
Matt Festa
.0001.48
now 1
0–0
Tyler Holton
.0001.48
now 1
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans buyMatt Festa — hold.conf 0.60
BuyTyler Holton — buy.conf 0.70
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